An analysis of Turkish Russian rapprochement: Trends and prospects

Abstract

The history of tense bilateral relations between Turkey and Russia had changed dramatically in the last two decades. This paper will analyze reasons for this change and its implications. This project argues that first, expanding energy relations and increasing trade and tourism between the two countries have been the major driver of change in relations. Second, on the security front number of sources for conflict had been removed such as; the creation of NATO- Russian Council. Third, both countries found a common ground in number of issues in foreign policy. Fourth, both Turkey and Russia feel increasingly rejected by the EU, which adds up to the understanding that straining relations between Turkey and the EU will also negatively affect the relations between Russia and the EU. Fifth, with regard to the Black Sea both sides approach is to welcome an “entente cordiale” in which Turkey and Russia agrees to use more cooperation mechanisms. Finally, this paper argues that establishment of a strategic partnership between Turkey and Russia is unlikely in the future that both countries will remain economic and geopolitical competitors